Published: Tue, June 12, 2018
Research | By Derrick Holloway

Category 3 Hurricane Bud expected to weaken before hitting Mexico

Category 3 Hurricane Bud expected to weaken before hitting Mexico

That's according to the National Hurricane Center, which pegged the disturbance's chance of organization in the next two days at just 10% in this afternoon's tropical weather outlook. A tropical storm watch has been posted for portions of Mexico's west coast. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

With maximum sustained winds of 115mph, Hurricane Bud is expected to rip through the western coasts of Mexico in the coming days.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Aletta weakened into a tropical depression in the Pacific Ocean far off the Mexican coast and was expected to degenerate further and become a remnant low-pressure system later in the day.

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The eastern Pacific hurricane season is forecast to be quite active, thanks in part to a developing El Niño. It's happened seven other times since 1970, according to NOAA's historical hurricanes database. However, the image also showed the eye was obscured by high clouds.

Bud will also create high seas and risky rip currents as it approaches land but is expected to begin to weaken before approaching Mexico's Baja California as a tropical storm later this week. Earlier Tuesday, it briefly strengthened to a Category 4 hurricane.

By mid-morning on Tuesday, Bud was moving towards the northwest at around 6 mph (9 km/h) and was around 325 miles (523 kilometers) south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas.

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A system has to have a closed center of circulation and winds of at least 39 miles per hour to be considered a tropical storm and get a name.

NHC forecasters said: "Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 miles per hour (185 km/h) with higher gusts".

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